Prices inA$US$

FinVolio

Economy · United States · Business activity

US ISM manufacturing prices paid

77.9 in September 2026, compared with 71.1 in August 2026.

Monthly · index, 50 = no change · 61.9 a year earlier · Updated 12 hrs ago

Next: ISM manufacturing PMI, Tue, 3 Nov, 2:00am Sydney time (usual time)

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Range, past 10 years52-week and 10-year range The lowest and highest values over a period, with a marker for where the latest value sits between them. Learn more
45.2 Dec 202384.6 Apr 2026
Over 3 monthsYear on year, month on month, quarter on quarter How a figure compares with the same period a year earlier (y/y), or with the period just before (m/m, q/q). Year-on-year removes seasonal swings; shorter comparisons show turning points sooner. Learn more
+6.7%from 73.0
Over 12 monthsPercentage points and basis points The difference between two percentages. A rate rising from 4.00% to 4.25% is up 0.25 percentage points, or 25 basis points; it is not up 0.25%. Learn more
+25.8%from 61.9
Long-run averageLong-run average The average of every reading in the series' history. A rough guide to what is normal, though economies change and some series never return to their old average. Learn more
62.4since 2023
Against its historyPercentile against history Where the latest reading ranks among every reading since the series began. The 90th percentile means it is higher than 90% of past readings. Learn more
89thpercentile: higher than 89% of readings since 2023

HistorySeasonally adjusted A figure with the regular calendar pattern removed (Christmas, school holidays, harvests), so one month can be compared fairly with the next. Learn more

index, 50 = no change, monthly

Show the data
Periodindex, 50 = no change
September 202677.9
August 202671.1
July 202671.1
June 202673.0
May 202682.1
April 202684.6
March 202678.3
February 202670.5
January 202659.0
December 202558.5
November 202558.5
October 202558.0
September 202561.9
August 202563.7
July 202564.8
June 202569.7
May 202569.4
October 202454.8
September 202448.3
August 202454.0
July 202452.9
June 202452.1
May 202457.0
April 202460.9

The latest 24 readings in this range.

Source: Institute for Supply Management, Report On Business (manufacturing), from ISM's monthly press releases. Data from November 2023.

Next releaseFinVolio estimates FinVolio's own estimate of what an upcoming release will show, from a stated statistical rule and, where available, an AI estimate with its reasoning. Not a consensus forecast and not advice. Learn more

Tue, 3 Nov, 2:00am Sydney time (usual time) · ISM manufacturing PMI, for October 2026

AI estimateFinVolio estimates FinVolio's own estimate of what an upcoming release will show, from a stated statistical rule and, where available, an AI estimate with its reasoning. Not a consensus forecast and not advice. Learn moreclaude-sonnet-5-554.4range 52.3 to 56.4
Model estimate80% range A band that the actual figure should land inside about four times in five. If actuals fall outside it more often than one time in five, the estimate is overconfident. Learn morelast reading plus half the recent trend54.7range 52.9 to 56.5
Last reading77.9September 2026

The PMI has held at 52.4-55.6 since January 2026 and was 54.5 in September, with new orders at 55.3 and employment at 52.7 supporting continued expansion. Mean reversion and very high prices paid (77.9) point to a slight drift down from the 54.5 level, so the estimate sits just below the 54.7 baseline.

Estimates are FinVolio's own, made from this series and related indicators. They are not a consensus forecast and not advice.

What it measures

Whether manufacturers are paying more or less for their inputs than a month earlier.

Why it matters

An early signal for producer and consumer inflation, often months ahead of the official price indices.