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Economy · United States · Consumer

US consumer sentiment

51.7 in August 2026, compared with 55.2 in July 2026.

Monthly · index (1966 = 100) · 58.2 a year earlier · Updated 12 hrs ago

Next: Consumer sentiment (University of Michigan), Sat, 24 Oct, 1:00am Sydney time (usual time)

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Range, past 10 years52-week and 10-year range The lowest and highest values over a period, with a marker for where the latest value sits between them. Learn more
44.8 May 2026101.4 Mar 2018
Over 3 monthsYear on year, month on month, quarter on quarter How a figure compares with the same period a year earlier (y/y), or with the period just before (m/m, q/q). Year-on-year removes seasonal swings; shorter comparisons show turning points sooner. Learn more
+15.4%from 44.8
Over 12 monthsPercentage points and basis points The difference between two percentages. A rate rising from 4.00% to 4.25% is up 0.25 percentage points, or 25 basis points; it is not up 0.25%. Learn more
−11.2%from 58.2
Long-run averageLong-run average The average of every reading in the series' history. A rough guide to what is normal, though economies change and some series never return to their old average. Learn more
82.0since 1999
Against its historyPercentile against history Where the latest reading ranks among every reading since the series began. The 90th percentile means it is higher than 90% of past readings. Learn more
2ndpercentile: higher than 2% of readings since 1999

HistorySeasonally adjusted A figure with the regular calendar pattern removed (Christmas, school holidays, harvests), so one month can be compared fairly with the next. Learn more

index (1966 = 100), monthly

Show the data
Periodindex (1966 = 100)
August 202651.7
July 202655.2
June 202649.5
May 202644.8
April 202649.8
March 202653.3
February 202656.6
January 202656.4
December 202552.9
November 202551.0
October 202553.6
September 202555.1
August 202558.2
July 202561.7
June 202560.7
May 202552.2
April 202552.2
March 202557.0
February 202564.7
January 202571.7
December 202474.0
November 202471.8
October 202470.5
September 202470.1

The latest 24 readings in this range.

Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, series UMCSENT. Data from January 1999.

Next releaseFinVolio estimates FinVolio's own estimate of what an upcoming release will show, from a stated statistical rule and, where available, an AI estimate with its reasoning. Not a consensus forecast and not advice. Learn more

Sat, 24 Oct, 1:00am Sydney time (usual time) · Consumer sentiment (University of Michigan), for September 2026

AI estimateFinVolio estimates FinVolio's own estimate of what an upcoming release will show, from a stated statistical rule and, where available, an AI estimate with its reasoning. Not a consensus forecast and not advice. Learn moreclaude-sonnet-5-552.5range 46.8 to 58.3
Model estimate80% range A band that the actual figure should land inside about four times in five. If actuals fall outside it more often than one time in five, the estimate is overconfident. Learn morelast reading plus half the recent trend52.9range 46.7 to 59.0
Last reading51.7August 2026

Sentiment has stayed in a 45-57 range for a year and the latest reading of 51.7 sits just below the recent mean of about 52. Inflation is elevated at 3.7% CPI and gasoline is $4.33/gal, which caps gains, while firm ISM PMIs (54.5 and 54.9) and a 4.2% unemployment rate point to mild mean reversion upward.

Estimates are FinVolio's own, made from this series and related indicators. They are not a consensus forecast and not advice.

What it measures

The University of Michigan survey of how US households feel about their finances and the economy.

Why it matters

Consumer spending is about two thirds of the US economy. Sentiment is an early read on it.